Global value chains and challenges for economic policy
Abstract
The article analyses the influence of productivity shocks on wages and trade in components for the German economy. Accordingly, historical aspects of the country’s participation in the production fragmentation processes are examined. Furthermore, we determine factors maintaining the efficiency of national companies’ insertion into global value chains. Then, we estimate a structural vector autoregression model with long-run restrictions. As a result, we plot impulse response functions for wages and trade in components. It was found that a one-unit increase in productivity leads to the change in the equilibrium positioning of a country in global value chains. More specifically, it shifts the production specialization pattern and brings the wages up to the new steady state level. Besides, we show that changes in productivity are causally prior to changes in wages and trade in components. Hence, it is recommended to develop mechanisms of intellectual property rights protection which are among major factors driving the process of advanced technologies attraction from foreign companies.
Downloads
References
Amador J., Cappariello R., Stehrer R. Global value chains: a view from the euro area//Working Paper Series. 2015. Vol. 1761.
OECD-WTO Trade in Value Added Database. URL: <http://stats.oecd.org>.
Baldwin R. The Great Convergence: information technology and the new globalization. Harvard University Press, 2016.
Kosfeld R., Titze M. Benchmark Value Added Chains and Regional Clusters in German R&D Intensive Industries. European Regional Science
Association, 2014.
Romer P. M. Increasing returns and long-run growth//The journal of political economy. Vol. 94. No. 5. 1986. P. 1002–1037.
Sheffi Y. Logistics-intensive clusters: global competitiveness and regional growth. In Handbook of Global Logistics. N.-Y.: Springer, 2013. P. 463–500.
Зуев В. Н. Наднациональные механизмы интеграции. М.: Магистр, 2014.
Orefice G., Rocha N. Deep integration and production networks: an empirical analysis//The World Economy. 2014. Vol. 37. No. 1. P. 106–136.
Miroudot S., Rouzet D., Spinelli F. Trade Policy Implications of Global Value
Chains: Case Studies // OECD Trade Policy Papers, 2013. No. 161.
Guidelines on Vertical Restraints. European Commission Notice, 2010. URL: <http://ec.europa.eu/competition/antitrust/legislation/guidelines_vertical_en.pdf>.
Costinot A., Vogel J., Wang S. An elementary theory of global supply chains //The Review of Economic Studies, 2013. Vol. 80. No. 1. P. 109–144.
UN Comtrade Database. URL: <https://comtrade.un.org/>.
Statistisches Bundesamt. URL: <https://www.destatis.de/EN/Homepage.html>.
Blanchard O. J., Quah D. The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances//The American Economic Review. 1989. Vol. 79. No. 4. P. 655–673.
UN Trade Statistics. URL: <https://unstats.un.org/>.
Taglioni D., Winkler D. Making global value chains work for development. World Bank Publications, 2016.